Tondela v Torreense: the model read
Tondela meet Torreense in the Segunda Liga regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torreense, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Tondela arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ União de Leiria, L 0-2 v Academica, L 0-1 @ Leixoes, W 2-1 v Amarante.
Torreense are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Vizela, D 2-2 @ Lusitânia Lourosa, D 2-2 v Penafiel, L 1-2 @ Farense.
Tondela hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Tondela 2-2 Torreense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
