Where the market is wrong on Academica v Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica meet Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga regular season - 4 at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Academica, 58% against 44%. Attacking output favors Academica on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Academica arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Lusitânia Lourosa, W 2-0 @ Tondela, W 1-0 v Feirense, W 4-1 @ Chaves.
Lusitânia Lourosa are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Academica, D 2-2 v Torreense, W 1-0 @ Amarante, W 2-0 v FC Porto B.
Lusitânia Lourosa hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Academica 0-2 Lusitânia Lourosa.
The market prices ACA at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Lusitânia Lourosa: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
