Where the market is wrong on Fremad Amager v Thisted FC
Fremad Amager meet Thisted FC in the 2. Division regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fremad Amager, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Thisted FC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Fremad Amager at 53%; double chance reads Fremad Amager or draw 67%, Thisted FC or draw 63%.
Fremad Amager arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Thisted FC, D 1-1 v Roskilde, W 2-0 @ Skive, L 0-3 @ VSK Århus.
Thisted FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Fremad Amager, L 0-1 v Skive, L 1-3 @ VSK Århus, L 0-1 v FA 2000.
Fremad Amager hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fremad Amager 2-2 Thisted FC.
The market prices FRE at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Thisted FC: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
