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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

· Mewa Arena, Mainz

Anteprima partita

The Bundesliga season is only two matches old, but the early narrative at the Mewa Arena is one of starkly contrasting fortunes. FSV Mainz 05, under U. Fischer, have taken four points from their opening two league games without conceding a goal. A commanding 5-0 victory away at Hamburger SV was followed by a goalless draw at home to SC Paderborn 07, setting up this first home derby of the campaign as a genuine test of their solid start.

Mainz’s pre-season form suggested a side finding its rhythm, with comfortable friendly wins over Paris FC and Bournemouth either side of a 3-3 draw with Udinese, and they carried that momentum into the DFB-Pokal with a 9-0 rout of lower-league Krieschow. Their start has been built on defensive organisation and attacking efficiency, yet the goalless draw with Paderborn will remind Fischer that converting control into goals remains a work in progress.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in Mainz with a more turbulent recent history. Adi Hutter’s side opened their league account with a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin, a result that spoke of both attacking intent and defensive fragility. That fragility was exposed severely in their latest outing, a 4-1 home defeat to FC Augsburg that leaves them with a single point and a need to correct course quickly. Their cup run began with an 11-0 dismantling of SC St. Tönis, yet the memory of a 7-0 friendly loss to Brentford lingers as evidence of how vulnerable they can be when pressed.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs is not available in the data, leaving the recent form of each side as the primary guide. Frankfurt’s away days have been particularly difficult, with their only competitive away result this season being the draw in Berlin and the heavy defeat in the Brentford friendly. Mainz, by contrast, have shown they can win on the road in the league but are still seeking their first home victory of the season in front of their own supporters.

What this fixture lacks in historical context it makes up for in present urgency. Mainz will aim to protect their unbeaten league record and establish the Mewa Arena as a fortress, while Frankfurt will be determined to respond to their Augsburg setback and avoid slipping further behind the early pace. The early September kickoff offers a fresh start after the international break, and the Rhineland rivalry, though not statistically documented here, carries its own weight in regional pride.

Both coaches will demand sharper finishing and sturdier defending, but the outcome remains entirely open. The scene is set for an intriguing afternoon in Mainz, where a compact home side meeting a wounded away team often produces a contest of fine margins and high tension.

Analisi partitaBrief pre-partita

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.8 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Eintracht Frankfurt are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 20 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FC Augsburg, D 3-3 @ Union Berlin, W 11-0 @ SC St. Tönis, L 0-7 @ Brentford.

Eintracht Frankfurt hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The market prices FSV at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FSV Mainz 05: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Segnati 3.25 · Subiti 1.00 · Porte inviolate 50% · Entrambe le squadre segnano 40%

  • WTHamburger SV5-0
  • DCSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WTKrieschow9-0
  • WCBournemouth2-1
  • WCParis FC4-0

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLWDL9-5-6

Segnati 2.80 · Subiti 1.75 · Porte inviolate 30% · Entrambe le squadre segnano 65%

  • LCFC Augsburg1-4
  • DTUnion Berlin3-3
  • WTSC St. Tönis11-0
  • LTBrentford0-7
  • WTFSV Frankfurt5-1

Testa a testa

10 incontri

FSV Mainz 05recordEintracht Frankfurt
2
4
4 pareggi

Goal

10-13

per ciascuna

Media goal

2.3

per partita

BTTS

60%

entrambe hanno segnato

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goal

FSV Mainz 05

Recenti
WLDWLD
Vittorie 2Goal 10-13

Vittoria più ampia 3-1

Eintracht Frankfurt

Recenti
LWDLWD
Vittorie 4Goal 13-10

Vittoria più ampia 3-0

  • FSV Mainz 052-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-3FSV Mainz 05
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt3-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 052-2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 050-1Eintracht Frankfurt

Allenatori

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In carica dal 2025 · 5 squadre allenate

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

Adi Hutter

Allenatore

In carica dal 2026

Esporta artefatto

Artefatto condivisibile

Scheda

MeisterIQ, i quattro input del modello, modello vs mercato e il margine

Formato

Sblocca HD e senza marchio
Condividi

Solo dati reali: risultati recenti, testa a testa e quote di mercato. Nessun output del modello per squadre senza priori Lemeister.