Where the market is wrong on Valencia W v Madrid CFF W
Valencia W meet Madrid CFF W in the Primera División Femenina regular season - 2 at Estadio Antonio Puchades, Valencia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Madrid CFF W on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Valencia W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Madrid CFF W, L 0-2 @ Deportivo Alavés W, D 2-2 v Real Madrid W, D 1-1 @ FC Levante Badalona W.
Madrid CFF W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Valencia W, W 3-1 v Granada, L 0-4 v Barcelona W, W 4-3 @ Granada.
The market prices VAL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Valencia W: a 14.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
