Where the market is wrong on Tenerife II v Estepona
Tenerife II meet Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estepona, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tenerife II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Tenerife II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Estepona, W 2-1 @ Ciudad de Lucena, W 3-1 v Atlético Central, L 1-2 @ Badajoz.
Estepona are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tenerife II, W 2-0 @ Puente Genil, L 1-4 v Linares Deportivo, D 0-0 v Xerez.
Tenerife II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tenerife II 2-1 Estepona.
The market prices TEN at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Estepona: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
