Where the market is wrong on Osasuna II v Ebro
Osasuna II meet Ebro in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 3 at Tajonar Facilities Stadium, Pamplona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Ebro on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Osasuna II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ebro, W 4-1 v Arnedo, W 1-0 @ Reddis, L 0-1 v Mirandes.
Ebro are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Terrassa, L 0-1 @ Osasuna II, W 2-0 v Reddis, D 2-2 @ Olot.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Osasuna II 1-0 Ebro.
The market prices OSA at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
