Gimnastic v Zaragoza: the model read
Gimnastic meet Zaragoza in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 group 2 - 1 at Nou Estadi de Tarragona, Tarragona. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% GIM, 36% draw, 31% ZAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gimnastic, 40% against 30%. Attacking output favors Gimnastic on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans Gimnastic at 52%; double chance reads Gimnastic or draw 69%, Zaragoza or draw 66%.
Gimnastic arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v FC Andorra, D 1-1 @ Hércules, W 2-1 v Europa Fc, L 0-2 @ Tarazona.
Zaragoza are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Malaga, D 1-1 @ Las Palmas, L 1-3 v Sporting Gijon, L 0-2 @ Valladolid.
Zaragoza hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gimnastic 1-2 Zaragoza.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output