Where the market is wrong on Arenas Getxo v Athletic Club II
Arenas Getxo meet Athletic Club II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 group 1 - 5 at Estadio Municipal de Fadura, Getxo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Athletic Club II, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Athletic Club II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Arenas Getxo arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Athletic Club II, L 0-3 @ Cacereño, L 1-2 v Zamora, L 1-4 @ Pontevedra.
Athletic Club II are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Arenas Getxo, D 2-2 v Deportivo La Coruña II, W 3-1 @ Pontevedra, W 2-1 v Real Avilés.
The market prices ARE at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Athletic Club II: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
