Mexico 
EnglandMexico v England: the model read
Mexico meet England in the World Cup round of 16 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1730, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans England, 80% against 70%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.
England are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.
England hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mexico 2-3 England.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
