Where the market is wrong on Real Sociedad v Espanyol
Real Sociedad meet Espanyol in the La Liga regular season - 3 at Reale Arena, San Sebastian.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors Real Sociedad on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Real Sociedad arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.
Espanyol are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Real Sociedad, L 1-2 v Real Madrid, W 3-0 v Levante, L 1-3 @ Coventry.
Real Sociedad hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol.
The market prices REA at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Espanyol: a 15.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
