La Liga · Regular Season - 1 · Spain

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

4-1Tempo scadutoAug 26, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· Bernabéu, Madrid· Arbitro: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

Analisi partitaBrief pre-partita

Where the market is wrong on Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

Real Madrid meet Real Sociedad in the La Liga regular season - 1 at Bernabéu, Madrid.

Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1408. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 38%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.

Real Madrid arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.

Real Sociedad are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.

Real Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad.

The market prices REA at 79% implied. Our number sits apart on Real Sociedad: a 16.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pronostico

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Vedi i piani

Real Madrid

WWWWW13-3-4

Segnati 2.15 · Subiti 1.15 · Porte inviolate 30% · Entrambe le squadre segnano 65%

WCMalaga4-0
WCReal Sociedad4-1
WTEspanyol2-1
WTFC Schalke 043-0
WTDeportivo La Coruna1-0

Real Sociedad

LLLLW4-7-9

Segnati 1.50 · Subiti 1.80 · Porte inviolate 5% · Entrambe le squadre segnano 75%

WCEspanyol2-1
LTReal Madrid1-4
LTReal Betis0-1
LTChelsea1-3
LT1. FC Köln1-2

Testa a testa

10 incontri

Real MadridrecordReal Sociedad

1 pareggio

Goal

22-10

per ciascuna

Media goal

3.2

per partita

BTTS

50%

entrambe hanno segnato

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goal

Real Madrid

Recenti

WWWWDW

Vittorie 8Goal 22-10

Vittoria più ampia 4-1

Real Sociedad

Recenti

LLLLDL

Vittorie 1Goal 10-22

Vittoria più ampia 2-0

Real Madrid4-1Real Sociedad
La LigaBernabéu
8/26/26, 3:00 PM ET
Real Madrid4-1Real Sociedad
La LigaEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
2/14/26, 3:00 PM ET
Real Sociedad1-2Real Madrid
La LigaReale Arena
9/13/25, 10:15 AM ET
Real Madrid2-0Real Sociedad
La LigaEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
5/24/25, 10:15 AM ET
Real Madrid4-4Real Sociedad
Copa del ReyEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
4/1/25, 3:30 PM ET
Real Sociedad0-1Real Madrid
Copa del ReyReale Arena
2/26/25, 3:30 PM ET
Real Sociedad0-2Real Madrid
La LigaReale Arena
9/14/24, 3:00 PM ET
Real Sociedad0-1Real Madrid
La LigaReale Arena
4/26/24, 3:00 PM ET
Real Madrid2-1Real Sociedad
La LigaEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
9/17/23, 3:00 PM ET
Real Sociedad2-0Real Madrid
La LigaReale Arena
5/2/23, 4:00 PM ET

Allenatori

José Mourinho

Portugal · 62

In carica dal 2026 · 10 squadre allenate

Benfica2025–2026
Roma2021–2024
Tottenham Hotspur2019–2021
Manchester United2016–2018

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Allenatore

In carica dal 2025

Esporta artefatto

Artefatto condivisibile

Scheda

MeisterIQ, i quattro input del modello, modello vs mercato e il margine

Formato

Sblocca HD e senza marchio →

Solo dati reali: risultati recenti, testa a testa e quote di mercato. Nessun output del modello per squadre senza priori Lemeister.

Report partita

Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad 4-1 at Bernabéu, Madrid.

How it unfolded: 40' K. Mbappe (REA), 44' L. Sucic (REA), 60' K. Mbappe (REA), 68' Vinicius Junior (REA), 80' K. Mbappe (REA).

The numbers, REA to REA: possession 51% to 49%; shots on target 11 to 3; total shots 20 to 10; corners 4 to 7.

Top match ratings: Kylian Mbappé (REA) at 10.0, Álex Remiro (REA) at 8.2.

Discipline: 6 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: REA 5, REA 5.

The model's lean held: it made Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 51%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Real Madrid 3-1 Real Sociedad; the match finished 4-1.

Ledger entry: the published 16.0-point edge on Real Sociedad did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Dati partita

How it unfolded: 40' K. Mbappe (REA), 44' L. Sucic (REA), 60' K. Mbappe (REA), 68' Vinicius Junior (REA), 80' K. Mbappe (REA).
The numbers, REA to REA: possession 51% to 49%; shots on target 11 to 3; total shots 20 to 10; corners 4 to 7.
Top match ratings: Kylian Mbappé (REA) at 10.0, Álex Remiro (REA) at 8.2.
Discipline: 6 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: REA 5, REA 5.

Come il modello ha valutato

The model's lean held: it made Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 51%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Real Madrid 3-1 Real Sociedad; the match finished 4-1.

Ledger entry: the published 16.0-point edge on Real Sociedad did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.

Esporta artefatto

Artefatto condivisibile

Scheda

MeisterIQ, i quattro input del modello, modello vs mercato e il margine

Formato

Sblocca HD e senza marchio →

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

Where the market is wrong on Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

Pronostico

Real Madrid

Real Sociedad

Esporta artefatto

Esporta artefatto

Esporta artefatto

Momentum

Anteprima kickoff