Where the market is wrong on Castellón v AD Ceuta FC
Castellón meet AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon.
Castellón rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1468. Recent form leans Castellón, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Castellón on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Castellón arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Leganes, W 5-0 v Tenerife, W 2-1 @ Girona, W 2-0 v Albacete.
AD Ceuta FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Real Sociedad II, D 1-1 v Valladolid, L 1-3 @ Burgos, L 0-2 v Celta de Vigo II.
Castellón hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Ceuta FC 1-1 Castellón.
The market prices CAS at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on AD Ceuta FC: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
