Where the market is wrong on Kluczevia Stargard v Unia Swarzędz
Kluczevia Stargard meet Unia Swarzędz in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Unia Swarzędz, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Kluczevia Stargard on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Unia Swarzędz at 52%; double chance reads Kluczevia Stargard or draw 62%, Unia Swarzędz or draw 65%.
Kluczevia Stargard arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Unia Swarzędz, W 4-3 @ Grom Nowy Staw, D 2-2 v Gedania Gdansk, W 4-1 @ Lipno Stęszew.
Unia Swarzędz are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Kluczevia Stargard, L 0-1 v Wda Świecie, W 3-2 @ Elana Toruń, L 0-3 v Noteć Czarnków.
Kluczevia Stargard hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kluczevia Stargard 2-0 Unia Swarzędz.
The market prices KLU at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Unia Swarzędz: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
