Where the market is wrong on Victoria Września v Kotwica Kórnik
Victoria Września meet Kotwica Kórnik in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 5.
Victoria Września rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1408. Recent form leans Victoria Września, 55% against 35%. Attacking output favors Victoria Września on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Victoria Września at 56%; double chance reads Victoria Września or draw 69%, Kotwica Kórnik or draw 60%.
Victoria Września arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kotwica Kórnik, L 0-5 @ Flota Świnoujście, L 1-3 v Luzino, L 0-1 @ Polonia Środa.
Kotwica Kórnik are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Victoria Września, L 0-1 v Bałtyk Koszalin, D 2-2 v Kalisz, L 0-2 @ Flota Świnoujście.
Victoria Września hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Victoria Września 1-0 Kotwica Kórnik.
The market prices VIC at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
