AZ Alkmaar v Genk: the model read
AZ Alkmaar meet Genk in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes AZ Alkmaar the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% AZ , 27% draw, 27% GEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 66% against 53%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans AZ Alkmaar at 63%; double chance reads AZ Alkmaar or draw 73%, Genk or draw 55%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Olympiakos Piraeus, W 4-0 v Genk, D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht.
Genk are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Bayer Leverkusen, L 0-4 @ AZ Alkmaar, L 0-1 @ Falkirk, W 4-3 @ Motherwell.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 4-0 Genk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
