Samtredia v Shturmi: the model read
Samtredia meet Shturmi in the David Kipiani Cup round of 32. The model makes Shturmi the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% SAM, 32% draw, 40% SHT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shturmi, 55% against 35%. Attacking output favors Samtredia on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Shturmi at 59%; double chance reads Samtredia or draw 60%, Shturmi or draw 72%.
Samtredia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Shturmi, L 2-3 @ Sioni, L 1-2 @ Merani Martvili, D 2-2 v Kolkheti Poti.
Shturmi are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Samtredia, W 2-0 @ West Georgia, D 0-0 @ Kolkheti Poti, D 0-0 @ Gareji.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
