Where the market is wrong on Corvinul Hunedoara v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Corvinul Hunedoara meet Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in the Liga I regular season - 3 at Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad. The model makes Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% COR, 33% draw, 36% SEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 70% against 58%. Attacking output favors Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at 54%; double chance reads Corvinul Hunedoara or draw 64%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or draw 69%.
Corvinul Hunedoara arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Farul Constanta, W 3-0 v Csikszereda, L 0-1 @ Koper, W 2-0 v Pyunik Yerevan.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Universitatea Cluj, L 0-1 @ Rapid, D 1-1 v ASA Targu Mures, W 1-0 v Drita.
The market prices COR at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
