Where the market is wrong on Plymouth v Burton Albion
Plymouth meet Burton Albion in the League One regular season - 8 at Home Park, Plymouth.
Plymouth rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1477. Recent form leans Plymouth, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Plymouth on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Plymouth arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Burton Albion, W 5-1 v Crystal Palace U21, W 4-2 @ Blackpool, W 3-0 v Barnsley.
Burton Albion are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Plymouth, D 1-1 v Nottingham Forest U21, D 2-2 v Mansfield Town, L 0-3 @ Oxford United.
Plymouth hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Plymouth 0-1 Burton Albion.
The market prices PLY at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Burton Albion: a 9.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
