Where the market is wrong on Peterborough v Sheffield Wednesday
Peterborough meet Sheffield Wednesday in the League One regular season - 5 at Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Sheffield Wednesday on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Peterborough arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sheffield Wednesday, D 0-0 v Stevenage, L 0-4 @ Blackpool, W 5-1 @ Watford.
Sheffield Wednesday are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Peterborough, W 2-1 @ Wycombe, W 7-2 v Bromley, L 0-2 v Wolves.
Sheffield Wednesday hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Peterborough 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday.
The market prices PET at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
