Chesterfield v York: the model read
Chesterfield meet York in the League Two regular season - 7 at Proact Stadium, Chesterfield.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors York on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Chesterfield arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Port Vale, W 2-0 v York, W 5-3 v Manchester City U21, W 2-1 @ Oldham.
York are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Rotherham, L 0-2 @ Chesterfield, L 1-3 v Newcastle United U21, W 4-0 v Swindon Town.
Chesterfield hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chesterfield 2-0 York.
The market prices CHE at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
