Where the market is wrong on Akron v Lokomotiv
Akron meet Lokomotiv in the Cup group stage - 3 at Samara Arena, Samara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lokomotiv, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Lokomotiv on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Akron arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Lokomotiv, D 2-2 v CSKA Moscow, L 0-3 v Krylia Sovetov, W 1-0 @ CSKA Moscow.
Lokomotiv are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Akron, L 0-1 v Dynamo, L 2-3 @ CSKA Moscow, L 0-1 @ FC Rostov.
The market prices AKR at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
