Caerau (Ely) v Canton Liberal: the model read
Caerau (Ely) meet Canton Liberal in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Caerau (Ely) the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% CAE, 26% draw, 26% CAN.
Caerau (Ely) rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1609 to 1452. Recent form leans Caerau (Ely), 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Caerau (Ely) on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Caerau (Ely) at 64%; double chance reads Caerau (Ely) or draw 74%, Canton Liberal or draw 53%.
Caerau (Ely) arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 v Barnstaple Town, L 1-2 @ Haverfordwest County AFC, L 0-2 @ Evesham United, W 5-1 v Croesyceiliog AFC.
Canton Liberal are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Blaenavon Blues, L 1-2 @ Flint Mountain, D 1-1 v Cambrian & Clydach, W 3-1 v Sully Sports.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
