Where the market is wrong on Glentoran v Crusaders FC
Glentoran meet Crusaders FC in the Premiership regular season - 4 at The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast.
Crusaders FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1489. Recent form leans Crusaders FC, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Glentoran on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Glentoran arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Crusaders FC, W 2-0 @ Ballymena United, L 1-2 @ Linfield, W 2-0 v Limavady United.
Crusaders FC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Glentoran, W 3-2 v Portadown, W 2-1 v Ballymena United, L 1-2 @ Cliftonville FC.
The market prices GLE at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Crusaders FC: a 26.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
