Spartak Varna v Nesebar: the model read
Spartak Varna meet Nesebar in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Nesebar the most likely outcome at 58%, with the full read 19% SPA, 23% draw, 58% NES.
Nesebar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1489. Recent form leans Nesebar, 78% against 48%. Attacking output favors Nesebar on expected goals, 3.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Nesebar at 76%; double chance reads Spartak Varna or draw 42%, Nesebar or draw 81%.
Spartak Varna arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cherno More Varna, D 2-2 v CSKA 1948, W 7-3 v Dobrudzha, D 1-1 v Nesebar.
Nesebar are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Etar Veliko Tarnovo, D 1-1 @ Spartak Varna, D 1-1 @ Ludogorets II, W 8-1 v Asenovets.
Spartak Varna hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Varna 1-1 Nesebar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
