Where the market is wrong on Malacateco v Suchitepéquez
Malacateco meet Suchitepéquez in the Liga Nacional regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 43%. Attacking output favors Suchitepéquez on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Malacateco arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Suchitepéquez, L 0-1 @ Aurora, W 2-0 v Deportivo San Pedro, L 2-4 @ Comunicaciones.
Suchitepéquez are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Malacateco, W 3-2 v Cobán Imperial, L 2-3 @ Aurora, L 1-2 v Marquense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Malacateco 2-0 Suchitepéquez.
The market prices MAL at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Suchitepéquez: a 20.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output