Where the market is wrong on Ilirija v Krško
Ilirija meet Krško in the 2. SNL regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ilirija, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Ilirija on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Ilirija arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Krško, L 1-3 @ Jesenice, D 0-0 v Primorje, L 1-2 @ Slovan Ljubljana.
Krško are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ilirija, L 0-1 v Krka, L 2-3 @ Beltinci, D 0-0 v Dekani.
Ilirija hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ilirija 2-0 Krško.
The market prices ILI at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
