Krka v Bistrica: the model read
Krka meet Bistrica in the 2. SNL regular season - 1 at Portoval, Novo Mesto. The model makes Bistrica the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% KRK, 29% draw, 38% BIS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 39%. Attacking output favors Bistrica on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Bistrica at 54%; double chance reads Krka or draw 62%, Bistrica or draw 68%.
Krka arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Karlovac 1919, L 1-4 @ Kustosija, W 2-1 v Dubrava Zagreb, L 3-4 @ Dekani.
Bistrica are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, L 4-5 @ Voitsberg, L 0-4 v Bihor Oradea, W 1-0 v Slovan Ljubljana.
Bistrica hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bistrica 3-0 Krka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
