Where the market is wrong on Anderlecht v Genk
Anderlecht meet Genk in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 5 at Lotto Park, Anderlecht.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Genk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Anderlecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Union St. Gilloise, W 3-0 v Kairat Almaty, W 3-0 @ Kairat Almaty, L 0-1 @ SK Beveren.
Genk are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v SK Beveren, D 4-4 @ Antwerp, W 3-2 v KVC Westerlo, L 1-2 @ Zulte Waregem.
Genk hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Genk 2-0 Anderlecht.
The market prices AND at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
