Where the market is wrong on Polonia Warszawa v Polonia Bytom
Polonia Warszawa meet Polonia Bytom in the I Liga regular season - 8 at Stadion Polonii, Warsaw.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Polonia Bytom on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Polonia Warszawa arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Stal Rzeszów, W 1-0 @ Górnik Polkowice, L 2-4 v Lechia Gdansk, W 3-1 @ Nieciecza.
Polonia Bytom are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Podbeskidzie, D 1-1 @ Arka Gdynia, D 2-2 v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, L 2-5 @ Stal Mielec.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Polonia Bytom 3-2 Polonia Warszawa.
The market prices POL at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Polonia Bytom: a 14.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
