Where the market is wrong on Everton v Ipswich
Everton meet Ipswich in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Ipswich on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Everton arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ipswich, W 1-0 v Wolves, D 0-0 @ Tottenham, D 2-2 v Manchester United.
Ipswich are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Everton, L 2-4 v Arsenal, W 3-2 @ Crystal Palace, L 0-2 v Liverpool.
The market prices EVE at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Ipswich: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
