Brighton v Arsenal: the model read
Brighton meet Arsenal in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Amex Stadium, Brighton.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 65%. Attacking output favors Brighton on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Brighton arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Chelsea, W 4-0 v Tromso, W 4-0 v Aston Villa, D 0-0 @ Tromso.
Arsenal are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Aston Villa, W 3-0 v Coventry, W 3-0 v Manchester City, D 1-1 v Como.
Arsenal hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brighton 0-1 Arsenal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
