Where the market is wrong on Coventry v Hull City
Coventry meet Hull City in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Coventry, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Coventry on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Coventry arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Hull City, W 4-2 @ Plymouth, L 0-3 @ Arsenal, W 2-0 v Monaco.
Hull City are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Coventry, D 1-1 @ Stoke City, W 2-0 v Manchester United, D 0-0 v Nice.
Hull City hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Coventry 0-1 Hull City.
The market prices COV at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Hull City: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
