Fulham v Chelsea: the model read
Fulham meet Chelsea in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Craven Cottage, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Chelsea on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Fulham at 51%; double chance reads Fulham or draw 66%, Chelsea or draw 65%.
Fulham arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Chelsea, W 1-0 v VfB Stuttgart, D 2-2 @ Malaga, L 1-2 v Crystal Palace.
Chelsea are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Fulham, W 3-1 v Real Sociedad, D 3-3 @ Johor Darul Takzim FC, W 3-0 v AC Milan.
Chelsea hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
