Where the market is wrong on Cove Rangers v Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers meet Alloa Athletic in the League One regular season - 6 at Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alloa Athletic, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Alloa Athletic on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Cove Rangers arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Dumbarton, D 1-1 v Alloa Athletic, L 0-1 @ Hamilton Academical, W 2-0 v Dundee United II.
Alloa Athletic are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Clydebank, D 1-1 @ Cove Rangers, D 1-1 v Peterhead, W 3-0 v Motherwell U21.
Alloa Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cove Rangers 1-1 Alloa Athletic.
The market prices COV at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Cove Rangers: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
