Where the market is wrong on Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk meet Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership regular season - 3 at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Heart Of Midlothian, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Heart Of Midlothian on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Falkirk arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Celtic, D 0-0 @ Motherwell, L 0-2 v ST Mirren, W 3-0 v Stranraer.
Heart Of Midlothian are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v ST Johnstone, D 1-1 @ Rapid Vienna, D 2-2 v Rapid Vienna, W 6-2 v Inverness CT.
Heart Of Midlothian hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk.
The market prices FAL at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Falkirk: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
