Gornik Zabrze v Fenerbahçe

Gornik Zabrze meet Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League 2nd qualifying round at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze. The model makes Gornik Zabrze the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% GOR, 31% draw, 34% FEN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 70%. Attacking output favors Fenerbahçe on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Gornik Zabrze at 51%; double chance reads Gornik Zabrze or draw 66%, Fenerbahçe or draw 65%.

Gornik Zabrze arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Slask Wroclaw, L 0-1 @ Fenerbahçe, L 1-3 @ Lech Poznan, W 2-0 @ FC Nordsjaelland.

Fenerbahçe are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Gornik Zabrze, W 2-1 @ Lask Linz, W 4-0 v Pogon Szczecin, W 5-0 @ Admira Wacker.

Fenerbahçe hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze.

The market prices GOR at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Gornik Zabrze: a 20.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.