Where the market is wrong on FA Šiauliai II v Minija
FA Šiauliai II meet Minija in the 1 Lyga regular season - 22.
Minija rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1765 to 1400. Recent form leans Minija, 85% against 25%. Attacking output favors Minija on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Minija at 83%; double chance reads FA Šiauliai II or draw 34%, Minija or draw 87%.
FA Šiauliai II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Minija, W 1-0 @ Jonava, L 1-4 v Žalgiris II, D 1-1 @ Atmosfera.
Minija are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ FA Šiauliai II, W 5-0 @ Ekranas, W 3-0 v Be1 NFA, W 4-0 @ Hegelmann II.
Minija hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FA Šiauliai II 1-2 Minija.
The market prices FA at 8% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
