JEF United Chiba v Fagiano Okayama: the model read
JEF United Chiba meet Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League regular season - 5 at Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba.
Fagiano Okayama rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Fagiano Okayama, 53% against 25%. Attacking output favors Fagiano Okayama on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
JEF United Chiba arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Gamba Osaka, L 1-2 v Fagiano Okayama, L 2-4 @ Kawasaki Frontale, D 1-1 v Azul Claro Numazu.
Fagiano Okayama are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, W 2-1 @ JEF United Chiba, L 1-2 @ Nagoya Grampus, W 3-0 v Beluga Rosso Iwami.
JEF United Chiba hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: JEF United Chiba 1-2 Fagiano Okayama.
The market prices JEF at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
