Where the market is wrong on FC Sion v FC Lugano
FC Sion meet FC Lugano in the Super League regular season - 5 at Stade de Tourbillon, Sion.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Lugano, 80% against 70%. Attacking output favors FC Sion on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.6 per match.
FC Sion arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 14 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v FC Lugano, L 3-5 @ Ajax, L 2-4 v Ajax, W 6-1 @ Kerzers.
FC Lugano are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ FC Sion, D 1-1 @ Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 2-1 v Maccabi Tel Aviv, W 10-1 @ Vedeggio.
The market prices FC at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Lugano: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
