Where the market is wrong on Loznica v Javor
Loznica meet Javor in the Prva Liga regular season - 9 at Lagator Stadium, Loznica.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Javor on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Loznica arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Javor, L 0-4 @ TSC Backa Topola, D 1-1 v Teleoptik, W 4-2 @ Metalac GM.
Javor are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Loznica, D 1-1 v FK Vozdovac, W 3-1 @ Semendrija 1924, W 3-0 v Napredak.
The market prices LOZ at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Loznica: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
