Zemun v Radnicki NIS: the model read
Zemun meet Radnicki NIS in the Super Liga regular season - 3 at Zemun Stadium, Belgrade. The model makes Zemun the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ZEM, 30% draw, 33% RAD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Zemun on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Zemun at 52%; double chance reads Zemun or draw 67%, Radnicki NIS or draw 63%.
Zemun arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ IMT Novi Beograd, D 2-2 v FK Partizan, W 1-0 v Radnik Bijeljina, L 1-2 v Mornar.
Radnicki NIS are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Cukaricki, L 1-2 @ Železničar Pančevo, L 0-3 v Neftchi Baku, W 2-0 v Příbram.
Radnicki NIS hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Zemun 0-1 Radnicki NIS.
The market prices ZEM at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
