Where the market is wrong on IMT Novi Beograd v Zemun
IMT Novi Beograd meet Zemun in the Super Liga regular season - 2. The model makes IMT Novi Beograd the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% IMT, 32% draw, 28% ZEM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 53%. Attacking output favors Zemun on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans IMT Novi Beograd at 59%; double chance reads IMT Novi Beograd or draw 72%, Zemun or draw 60%.
IMT Novi Beograd arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Zemun, W 1-0 @ Cukaricki, L 0-1 v Akhmat, L 0-1 @ Radnicki 1923.
Zemun are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ IMT Novi Beograd, D 2-2 v FK Partizan, W 1-0 v Radnik Bijeljina, L 1-2 v Mornar.
IMT Novi Beograd hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IMT Novi Beograd 4-0 Zemun.
The market prices IMT at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Zemun: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
