Where the market is wrong on Nantes v Nancy
Nantes meet Nancy in the Ligue 2 regular season - 5 at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nancy, 53% against 29%. Attacking output favors Nancy on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Nantes arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Guingamp, L 2-5 v Rodez, L 1-2 @ Laval, L 0-1 v RED Star FC 93.
Nancy are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Dunkerque, W 1-0 @ PAU, L 0-1 v Montpellier, D 0-0 @ Boulogne.
The market prices NAN at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Nancy: a 16.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
