Excelsior v Groningen: the model read
Excelsior meet Groningen in the Eredivisie regular season - 8 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Excelsior on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Excelsior arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven, W 4-0 @ Cambuur, W 5-1 @ De Graafschap.
Groningen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Fortuna Sittard, L 1-5 @ PSV Eindhoven, W 4-1 @ ADO Den Haag, W 2-1 v Utrecht.
Groningen hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Groningen 2-3 Excelsior.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
