AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag: the model read
AZ Alkmaar meet ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie regular season - 1 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. The model makes ADO Den Haag the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 31% AZ , 29% draw, 41% ADO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ADO Den Haag, 73% against 61%. Attacking output favors ADO Den Haag on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans ADO Den Haag at 57%; double chance reads AZ Alkmaar or draw 59%, ADO Den Haag or draw 69%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Genk, D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht, W 2-1 v Almere City FC.
ADO Den Haag are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ KV Mechelen, W 5-1 @ Laakkwartier, W 3-1 @ Den Bosch, W 5-1 v Waalwijk.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 ADO Den Haag.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
