Where the market is wrong on FC Fredericia v Esbjerg
FC Fredericia meet Esbjerg in the 1. Division regular season - 7 at Monjasa Park, Fredericia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Fredericia, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors FC Fredericia on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
FC Fredericia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Esbjerg, L 1-2 @ Hvidovre, L 1-2 v Odense, D 0-0 v Aarhus Fremad.
Esbjerg are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ FC Fredericia, L 0-2 v Vendsyssel FF, W 5-1 @ Skive, L 2-4 @ Vejle.
FC Fredericia hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Fredericia 1-0 Esbjerg.
The market prices FC at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Esbjerg: a 12.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
