Indonesia U19 v Australia U19: the model read
Indonesia U19 meet Australia U19 in the ASEAN Championship U19 semi-finals at North Sumatra Stadium, Medan. The model makes Indonesia U19 the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% IND, 31% draw, 30% AUS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1772 to 1701, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Indonesia U19, 87% against 78%. Attacking output favors Australia U19 on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Indonesia U19 at 56%; double chance reads Indonesia U19 or draw 70%, Australia U19 or draw 61%.
Indonesia U19 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Cambodia U19, L 0-1 v Australia U19, W 2-1 v Vietnam U19, W 3-0 @ Timor-Leste U19.
Australia U19 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Thailand U19, W 1-0 @ Indonesia U19, D 2-2 v Cambodia U19, W 10-0 @ Philippines U19.
Australia U19 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Indonesia U19 0-1 Australia U19.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
