Where the market is wrong on CF Pachuca v Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca meet Club Queretaro in the Liga MX apertura - 2 at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto. The model makes CF Pachuca the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% CF , 31% draw, 26% CLU.
CF Pachuca rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1489. Recent form leans CF Pachuca, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors CF Pachuca on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans CF Pachuca at 62%; double chance reads CF Pachuca or draw 74%, Club Queretaro or draw 57%.
CF Pachuca arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, W 3-1 v Puebla, L 0-1 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas, W 1-0 v U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Club Queretaro are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Club America, W 1-0 @ Austin, D 2-2 v Atletico San Luis, W 2-0 @ Reboceros La Piedad.
CF Pachuca hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club Queretaro 0-0 CF Pachuca.
The market prices CF at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Club Queretaro: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
