Erzgebirge Aue v 1899 Hoffenheim: the model read
Erzgebirge Aue meet 1899 Hoffenheim in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% ERZ, 27% draw, 38% 189.
1899 Hoffenheim rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1456. Recent form leans 1899 Hoffenheim, 60% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans 1899 Hoffenheim at 52%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 62%, 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 65%.
Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
1899 Hoffenheim are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ SGV Freiberg, L 0-4 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, W 1-0 v Werder Bremen, D 3-3 v VfB Stuttgart.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
